BMAW 2015
Bayesian Modeling Applications Workshop

Table of Contents

• Preface
  
  

Session 1: Risk, Ivestment, and Tool

• Project Cost, Benefit and Risk Analysis using Bayesian Networks (extended abstract) 1
  Barbaros Yet, Anthony Constantinou, Norman Fenton, Martin Neil, Eike Luedeling, Keith Shepherd
• Bayesian Optimisation of Gated Bayesian Networks for Algorithmic Trading 2-11
  Marcus Bendtsen
• A Tool for Visualising the Output of a DBN for Fog Forecasting (extended abstract) 12-13
  Tal Boneh, Xuhui Zhang, Ann Nicholson, Kevin Korb

Session 2: Education

• An IRT-based Parameterization for Conditional Probability Tables 14-23
  Russell Almond
• Bayesian Network Models for Adaptive Testing 24-33
  Martin Plajner, Jirka Vomlel
• Computer Adaptive Testing Using the Same-Decision Probability 34-43
  Suming Chen, Arthur Choi, Adnan Darwiche

Session 3: Vehicle and Aircraft Applications

• Influence Diagrams for the Optimization of a Vehicle Speed Profile 44-53
  Václav Kratochvíl, Jirka Vomlel
• Bayesian Predictive Modelling: Application to Aircraft Short-Term Conflict Alert System 54-61
  Vitaly Schetinin, Livija Jakaite, Wojtek Krzanowski