| Vol-2558 urn:nbn:de:0074-2558-5 Copyright © 2020 for the individual papers by the papers' authors. Copyright © 2020 for the volume as a collection by its editors. This volume and its papers are published under the Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).

# COGSAT 2019
Cognitive Systems for Anticipatory Thinking 2019

### Short Paper Proceedings of the Workshop on Cognitive Systems for Anticipatory Thinking (COGSAT 2019)
co-located with the AAAI Fall Symposium 2019

### Arlington, USA, November, 2019.

Edited by

### Adam Amos-Binks *
Dustin Dannenhauer **
Rogelio E. Cardona-Rivera ***
Gene Brewer ****

* Applied Research Associates, Inc. (ARA), Raleigh, NC 27614, USA
** Navatek, LLC, Arlington, VA 22203, USA
*** University of Utah, Laboratory for Quantitative Experience Design, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA
**** Arizona State University, The Memory and Attention Control Laboratory, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA

## Table of Contents

### Session 1: Mechanisms

- Anticipatory Thinking in Cognitive Architectures with Event Cognition Mechanisms
  Steven Jones, John Laird
- Explaining Possible Futures for Robust Autonomous Decision-Making
  Leilani Gilpin
- Anticipatory Thinking with Argument Schemes
  Nancy Green
- Anticipatory Thinking in Multi-Agent Environments: The Role of Theory of Mind
  Irina Rabkina, Constantine Nakos, Kenneth Forbus

### Session 2: Tools and Applications

- Avoiding Surprise: Augmenting Anticipatory Thinking with Scenario Explorer
  Chris Argenta, Abigail Browning, Adam Amos-Binks, Matthew Lyle
- Task-offload Tools Improve Productivity and Performance in Geopolitical Forecasting
  Ion Juvina, Othalia Larue, Colin Widmer, Subhashini Ganapathy, Srikanth Nadella, Brandon Minnery
- Anticipatory Intelligence Analysis with Cogent: Current Status and Future Directions
  Gheorghe Tecuci, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu, Chirag Uttamsingh
- Toward the Application of Anticipatory Thinking in Support of Risk Identification
  Michael Geden, Randall Spain, Jing Feng, Andy Smith, Richard Wagner, James Lester

### Session 3: Metacognition

- A Metacognitive Triggering Mechanism for Anticipatory Thinking
  Alexander Hough, Othalia Larue, Ion Juvina
- Anticipatory Thinking: A Metacognitive Capability
  Adam Amos-Binks, Dustin Dannenhauer

2020-02-24: submitted by Dustin Dannenhauer, metadata incl. bibliographic data published under Creative Commons CC0
2020-02-27: published on CEUR Workshop Proceedings (CEUR-WS.org, ISSN 1613-0073) |valid HTML5|